About
Our principal objectives are twofold: (1) use framework elements (see below) to provide an integrated assessment of spatially explicit adaptation opportunities in the Pacific Coastal Rainforest; and (2) evaluate the framework’s efficacy to adaptation planning for four adaptation blueprints (case studies). For the Pacific Coastal Rainforests, the framework will help identify where terrestrial rainforest ecosystems can be successfully maintained for resilience and resistance to climate change due to microsite features (microrefugia). Other areas, while still important, might be more successfully managed for transition to a different ecological state as emphasized in the framework. This blueprint therefore applies all six of the framework objectives: (1) comparison of baseline (historic and current) to future conditions (objectives 1 and 2); (2) identification of key processes (e.g., wildlands fire) likely to shift in response to climate change (objective 3); and (3) identification of relatively stable climatic areas and intact patches that might function as microrefugia at the landscape and site-specific scales (objectives 4, 5 and 6). The spatially explicit nature of this study will allow us to identify intact areas to conserve, fragmented ones to restore, private lands to prioritize for conservation, and public lands to prioritize for changes in land management plans, adding on-the-ground conservation opportunities without major investments.